Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Sportpark Pronsenbroek
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.78) 0.70 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.0% 22.1% 13.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
TOGB
0 1 2 3 4 5
Groene Ster 0 8.0% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.6% 10.3% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGroene SterTOGB
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack50%81%
Defense69%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 114 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Groene Ster TOGB
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%25%40%25%29%27%
Draws14%25%20%50%14%33%
Loses29%50%40%25%57%40%

Form: Groene Ster: LDWDDLWLLWWLWWL • TOGB: LLDDWLDWDLLWWLD

League goals

Metric Groene Ster TOGB
HATHAT
GF total12132523730
GF avg1.71.61.72.91.02.0
GA total81624231336
GA avg1.12.01.62.91.92.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGroene SterTOGB
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%87%80%87%
1.553%47%73%60%
2.533%27%33%53%
3.50%0%13%27%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGroene SterTOGB
HATHAT
Clean sheets202022
Failed to score123033

Penalties

MetricGroene SterTOGB
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGroene SterTOGB
Wins22
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-21-2
Biggest losses1-33-12-36-2
Goals For3342
Goals Against3346

Model comparison

MetricGroene SterTOGB
Form56%44%
Att38%62%
Def74%26%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h9%91%
Goals27%73%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or TOGB

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Groene Ster = 1.82 (league 1.78), TOGB = 0.70 (league 1.56)

TOGB
0 1 2 3 4 5
Groene Ster 0 8.0% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.6% 10.3% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.0% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 13.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1