Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:00 • Sportpark Molenbroek
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.79) 1.56 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.1% 24.1% 38.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC Lisse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gemert 0 4.8% 7.4% 5.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.1% 11.0% 8.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.6% 4.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGemertFC Lisse
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack68%45%
Defense64%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 310 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gemert FC Lisse
HATHAT
Played111324131225
Wins45%62%54%62%58%60%
Draws36%23%29%23%17%20%
Loses18%15%17%15%25%20%

Form: Gemert: LLDDWDWWDWWWWDWWDLWWWDLW • FC Lisse: WDWLLWDLDWWLWWDLWDWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Gemert FC Lisse
HATHAT
GF total212950262652
GF avg1.92.22.12.02.22.1
GA total12183071724
GA avg1.11.41.30.51.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGemertFC Lisse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%67%92%68%
1.567%33%68%24%
2.546%21%24%4%
3.58%4%12%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGemertFC Lisse
HATHAT
Clean sheets448718
Failed to score213202

Penalties

MetricGemertFC Lisse
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGemertFC Lisse
Wins42
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-45-01-4
Biggest losses2-34-00-13-2
Goals For4464
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricGemertFC Lisse
Form40%60%
Att60%40%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total49.3%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : Gemert or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away2.73 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ Marathonbet
No2.41 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gemert = 1.49 (league 1.79), FC Lisse = 1.56 (league 1.56)

FC Lisse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gemert 0 4.8% 7.4% 5.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.1% 11.0% 8.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.6% 4.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.1% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 38.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1