Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Sportpark Het Hoge Land Veld 1 Berkel
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.77)
1.75 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.2% | 20.3% | 30.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| SVV Scheveningen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| TOGB | 0 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
TOGB carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 174 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: TOGB +37.3, SVV Scheveningen +8.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
TOGB
vs
SVV Scheveningen
Elo gapTOGB +174
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo2896.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2896.1
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | TOGB | SVV Scheveningen |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1517.3 | 1378.8 |
| Form Elo | 1538.6 | 1376.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1505.3 | 1441.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1581.3 | 1416 |
| Defense Elo | 1404.9 | 1337 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +37.3 | +8.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. TOGB last-5 Elo change: +37.3; SVV Scheveningen last-5 Elo change: +8.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | TOGB | SVV Scheveningen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 33% |
| Attack | 47% | 24% |
| Defense | 76% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | TOGB | SVV Scheveningen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 40% | 40% | 40% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Draws | 33% | 20% | 27% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Loses | 27% | 40% | 33% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
TOGBLLDDWLDWDLLWWLDWLDLWWWLLWWDWWD
SVV ScheveningenLWLLLWWLDLLLLWWDLLLWLWLLLLDDWL
League goals
| Metric | TOGB | SVV Scheveningen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 35 | 19 | 54 | 22 | 19 | 41 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 30 | 26 | 56 | 30 | 25 | 55 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | TOGB | SVV Scheveningen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 67% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | 37% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 33% | 17% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 17% | 10% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 7% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | TOGB | SVV Scheveningen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | TOGB | SVV Scheveningen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | TOGB | SVV Scheveningen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-2 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 6-2 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | TOGB | SVV Scheveningen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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