Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 07:45 • Campbelltown Sports Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.61) 3.08 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.9% 13.9% 64.8%
best score tips
1 - 3
8.0%
1 - 2
7.8%
0 - 3
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Beijing Guoan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macarthur 0 1.3% 4.1% 6.3% 6.5% 5.0% 3.1%
1 1.6% 5.1% 7.8% 8.0% 6.2% 3.8%
2 1.0% 3.1% 4.9% 5.0% 3.8% 2.4%
3 0.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 1.6% 1.0%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMacarthurBeijing Guoan
Played11
Form0%33%
Attack10%20%
Defense80%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 22 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Macarthur Beijing Guoan
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins0%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%100%100%
Loses100%100%0%0%

Form: Macarthur: L • Beijing Guoan: D

League goals

Metric Macarthur Beijing Guoan
HATHAT
GF total011202
GF avg0.01.01.02.00.02.0
GA total022202
GA avg0.02.02.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMacarthurBeijing Guoan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.50%100%100%100%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMacarthurBeijing Guoan
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricMacarthurBeijing Guoan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMacarthurBeijing Guoan
Wins00
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For0120
Goals Against0220

Model comparison

MetricMacarthurBeijing Guoan
Form0%100%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Beijing Guoan

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Bet365
Draw4.10 @ Pinnacle
Away2.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ Unibet
No2.66 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Macarthur = 1.24 (league 1.61), Beijing Guoan = 3.08 (league 1.30)

Beijing Guoan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macarthur 0 1.3% 4.1% 6.3% 6.5% 5.0% 3.1%
1 1.6% 5.1% 7.8% 8.0% 6.2% 3.8%
2 1.0% 3.1% 4.9% 5.0% 3.8% 2.4%
3 0.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 1.6% 1.0%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.9% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 64.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1