Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 18:15 • Ahmad bin Ali Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.81) 7.12 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.3% 3.2% 22.3%
best score tips
2 - 5
3.3%
1 - 5
3.0%
3 - 5
2.4%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Gharafa 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 1.2% 2.1% 3.0%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 1.3% 2.3% 3.3%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 2.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Hilal Saudi FC
Played33
Form33%100%
Attack25%40%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.78 | 2.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 2.74 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Gharafa Al-Hilal Saudi FC
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%67%0%0%0%

Form: Al-Gharafa: LWL • Al-Hilal Saudi FC: WWW

League goals

Metric Al-Gharafa Al-Hilal Saudi FC
HATHAT
GF total235538
GF avg2.01.51.72.53.02.7
GA total088224
GA avg0.04.02.71.02.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-GharafaAl-Hilal Saudi FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%100%
1.567%67%100%33%
2.533%67%67%0%
3.50%67%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Hilal Saudi FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Hilal Saudi FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Hilal Saudi FC
Wins13
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-12-3
Biggest losses—4-0——
Goals For2333
Goals Against0412

Model comparison

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Hilal Saudi FC
Form25%75%
Att38%62%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total32.0%68.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al-Hilal Saudi FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.75 @ 1xBet
Draw6.19 @ Pinnacle
Away1.33 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ 888Sport
Under 2.53.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Gharafa = 2.21 (league 1.81), Al-Hilal Saudi FC = 7.12 (league 1.14)

Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Gharafa 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 1.2% 2.1% 3.0%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 1.3% 2.3% 3.3%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 2.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.3% · Draw 3.2% · Away win 22.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1