Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 16:00 •
Al Rashid Stadium
Expected Goals
5.53 (league 1.81)
1.32 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
best score tips
5 - 1
6.0%
4 - 1
5.5%
5 - 0
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Al-Gharafa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 25% |
| Attack | 54% | 46% |
| Defense | 54% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 10 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Al-Gharafa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Form: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: DWWL • Al-Gharafa: LWLL
League goals
| Metric | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Al-Gharafa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Al-Gharafa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Al-Gharafa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 64.7% | 35.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Shabab Al Ahli Dubai = 5.53 (league 1.81), Al-Gharafa = 1.32 (league 1.14)
| Al-Gharafa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 4.1% · Away win 2.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1