Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 16:00 • Rashid Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.69 (league 1.76) 1.32 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.5% 3.8% 2.4%
best score tips
5 - 1
5.9%
4 - 1
5.2%
5 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Gharafa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.9% 5.2% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 4.5% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShabab Al Ahli DubaiAl-Gharafa
Played44
Form58%25%
Attack54%46%
Defense54%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.86 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.510 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Al-Gharafa
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%50%0%25%
Draws50%0%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%50%100%75%

Form: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: DWWL • Al-Gharafa: LWLL

League goals

Metric Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Al-Gharafa
HATHAT
GF total527336
GF avg2.51.01.81.51.51.5
GA total2462810
GA avg1.02.01.51.04.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShabab Al Ahli DubaiAl-Gharafa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%75%75%
1.525%25%50%75%
2.525%25%25%50%
3.525%25%0%50%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShabab Al Ahli DubaiAl-Gharafa
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricShabab Al Ahli DubaiAl-Gharafa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricShabab Al Ahli DubaiAl-Gharafa
Wins21
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-12-0—
Biggest losses—4-11-24-0
Goals For4123
Goals Against1424

Model comparison

MetricShabab Al Ahli DubaiAl-Gharafa
Form70%30%
Att54%46%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h50%50%
Goals69%31%
Total64.7%35.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.41 @ 188Bet
Draw5.84 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shabab Al Ahli Dubai = 5.69 (league 1.76), Al-Gharafa = 1.32 (league 1.13)

Al-Gharafa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.9% 5.2% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 4.5% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 3.8% · Away win 2.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1