Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 18:15 • Ahmad bin Ali Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.74) 0.87 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.4% 38.5% 44.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.3%
0 - 1
23.7%
1 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Al Wahda FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Gharafa 0 27.3% 23.7% 10.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.8% 10.2% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-GharafaAl Wahda FC
Played55
Form20%87%
Attack55%91%
Defense0%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Gharafa Al Wahda FC
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%100%50%80%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses50%100%80%0%0%0%

Form: Al-Gharafa: LWLLL • Al Wahda FC: WDWWW

League goals

Metric Al-Gharafa Al Wahda FC
HATHAT
GF total3368210
GF avg1.51.01.22.71.02.0
GA total21012314
GA avg1.03.32.41.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-GharafaAl Wahda FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%80%80%
1.540%80%80%0%
2.520%40%40%0%
3.50%40%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-GharafaAl Wahda FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricAl-GharafaAl Wahda FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAl-GharafaAl Wahda FC
Wins11
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-11-2
Biggest losses1-24-0——
Goals For2332
Goals Against2411

Model comparison

MetricAl-GharafaAl Wahda FC
Form19%81%
Att38%63%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total29.3%71.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al Wahda FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.86 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away1.94 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Gharafa = 0.43 (league 1.74), Al Wahda FC = 0.87 (league 1.15)

Al Wahda FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Gharafa 0 27.3% 23.7% 10.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.8% 10.2% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 38.5% · Away win 44.0%

vtt 3 , vtd1