Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 18:15 • Al Inma Bank Stadium at King Abdullah Sport City
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.56 (league 1.67) 0.26 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.3% 10.6% 2.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.5%
3 - 0
16.6%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Gharafa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Ittihad FC 0 5.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.2% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.5% 5.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.6% 4.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.7% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-Ittihad FCAl-Gharafa
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack100%80%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Ittihad FC Al-Gharafa
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%33%50%67%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses33%67%50%33%100%67%

Form: Al-Ittihad FC: LLWWLW • Al-Gharafa: LWLLLW

League goals

Metric Al-Ittihad FC Al-Gharafa
HATHAT
GF total4711437
GF avg1.32.31.81.31.01.2
GA total17821012
GA avg0.32.31.30.73.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-Ittihad FCAl-Gharafa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%67%67%
1.550%33%33%67%
2.533%17%17%33%
3.517%17%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-Ittihad FCAl-Gharafa
HATHAT
Clean sheets202202
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricAl-Ittihad FCAl-Gharafa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAl-Ittihad FCAl-Gharafa
Wins21
Draws00
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-42-0—
Biggest losses0-14-21-24-0
Goals For3423
Goals Against1424

Model comparison

MetricAl-Ittihad FCAl-Gharafa
Form60%40%
Att71%29%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total69.8%30.3%

Advice: Winner : Al-Ittihad FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.31 @ SBO
Draw6.75 @ Unibet
Away11.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.75 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Betfair
No2.03 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Al-Ittihad FC = 2.56 (league 1.67), Al-Gharafa = 0.26 (league 1.15)

Al-Gharafa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Ittihad FC 0 5.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.2% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.5% 5.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.6% 4.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.7% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.3% · Draw 10.6% · Away win 2.4%

vtt 3 , vtd1