Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 16:00 • Al Inma Bank Stadium at King Abdullah Sport City
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.36 (league 1.67) 1.13 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.3% 6.9% 4.5%
best score tips
4 - 1
7.0%
3 - 1
6.4%
4 - 0
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Ahli Jeddah 0 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.8% 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.7% 6.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.2% 7.0% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.4% 6.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-Ahli JeddahShabab Al Ahli Dubai
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack85%69%
Defense85%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Ahli Jeddah Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%50%57%50%33%43%
Draws0%50%29%50%0%29%
Loses33%0%14%0%67%29%

Form: Al-Ahli Jeddah: WDWWLWD • Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: DWWLWLD

League goals

Metric Al-Ahli Jeddah Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
HATHAT
GF total89177411
GF avg2.72.32.41.81.31.6
GA total3362810
GA avg1.00.80.90.52.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-Ahli JeddahShabab Al Ahli Dubai
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%86%57%
1.571%29%43%29%
2.543%0%14%29%
3.543%0%14%29%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-Ahli JeddahShabab Al Ahli Dubai
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricAl-Ahli JeddahShabab Al Ahli Dubai
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAl-Ahli JeddahShabab Al Ahli Dubai
Wins22
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-54-10-1
Biggest losses0-1——4-1
Goals For4542
Goals Against2214

Model comparison

MetricAl-Ahli JeddahShabab Al Ahli Dubai
Form59%41%
Att55%45%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total68.3%31.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Al-Ahli Jeddah and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ 188Bet
Draw4.20 @ Pinnacle
Away5.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Pinnacle
No2.54 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Ahli Jeddah = 4.36 (league 1.67), Shabab Al Ahli Dubai = 1.13 (league 1.15)

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Ahli Jeddah 0 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.8% 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.7% 6.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.2% 7.0% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.4% 6.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.3% · Draw 6.9% · Away win 4.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1