Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 16:00 • Ahmad bin Ali Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.23 (league 1.67) 1.41 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.9% 26.3% 67.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
27.3%
0 - 0
19.4%
0 - 2
19.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tractor Sazi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Gharafa 0 19.4% 27.3% 19.2% 9.0% 3.2% 0.9%
1 4.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-GharafaTractor Sazi
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack10%43%
Defense29%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 33 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Gharafa Tractor Sazi
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%0%29%50%67%57%
Draws0%0%0%25%33%29%
Loses33%100%71%25%0%14%

Form: Al-Gharafa: LWLLLWL • Tractor Sazi: DDWWWWL

League goals

Metric Al-Gharafa Tractor Sazi
HATHAT
GF total4373710
GF avg1.30.81.00.82.31.4
GA total21719314
GA avg0.74.32.70.80.30.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-GharafaTractor Sazi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%71%43%
1.529%71%29%14%
2.514%43%14%0%
3.50%43%14%0%
4.50%14%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-GharafaTractor Sazi
HATHAT
Clean sheets202224
Failed to score033202

Penalties

MetricAl-GharafaTractor Sazi
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAl-GharafaTractor Sazi
Wins14
Draws02
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-10-5
Biggest losses1-27-00-2—
Goals For2325
Goals Against2721

Model comparison

MetricAl-GharafaTractor Sazi
Form20%80%
Att18%82%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h100%0%
Goals86%14%
Total31.6%68.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tractor Sazi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.56 @ 1xBet
Away3.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Gharafa = 0.23 (league 1.67), Tractor Sazi = 1.41 (league 1.15)

Tractor Sazi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Gharafa 0 19.4% 27.3% 19.2% 9.0% 3.2% 0.9%
1 4.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.9% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 67.4%

vtt 4 , vtd1