Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 09:00 •
Oulu-lehti Areena
Expected Goals
4.63 (league 2.14)
1.58 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
best score tips
4 - 1
6.1%
5 - 1
5.6%
3 - 1
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
| TPS | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ONS | 0 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ONS | TPS |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Attack | 65% | 47% |
| Defense | 71% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
84%
FT probability
3.5+
60%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ONS | TPS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 80% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 20% | 50% | 100% | 80% |
Form: ONS: WWWLW • TPS: LLLLW
League goals
| Metric | ONS | TPS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ONS | TPS | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | 80% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 20% | 0% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ONS | TPS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | ONS | TPS |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | ONS | TPS |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ONS | TPS |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 82% | 18% |
| Total | 74.3% | 25.7% |
Advice: Combo Winner : ONS and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): ONS = 4.63 (league 2.14), TPS = 1.58 (league 1.65)
| TPS | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ONS | 0 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.4% · Draw 7.8% · Away win 6.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1