Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 16:00 •
Urheilupuiston Yläkenttä
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 2.14)
1.52 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.1% | 25.4% | 44.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Lahti W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| TPS | 0 | 6.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | TPS | Lahti W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 32% | 40% |
| Defense | 52% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | TPS | Lahti W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 80% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
Form: TPS: LLLLW • Lahti W: LWWWL
League goals
| Metric | TPS | Lahti W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | TPS | Lahti W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 60% | 40% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | TPS | Lahti W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | TPS | Lahti W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | TPS | Lahti W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | TPS | Lahti W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 39.6% | 60.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lahti W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): TPS = 1.17 (league 2.14), Lahti W = 1.52 (league 1.65)
| Lahti W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| TPS | 0 | 6.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 44.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
