Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 07:45 • AAMI Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.81) 1.76 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.9% 17.9% 80.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
28.8%
0 - 2
25.3%
0 - 0
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
Buriram United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 16.4% 28.8% 25.3% 14.8% 6.5% 2.3%
1 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne CityBuriram United
Played22
Form0%50%
Attack0%10%
Defense85%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.54 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne City Buriram United
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%100%100%0%100%50%

Form: Melbourne City: LL • Buriram United: WL

League goals

Metric Melbourne City Buriram United
HATHAT
GF total000202
GF avg0.00.00.02.00.01.0
GA total213134
GA avg2.01.01.51.03.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne CityBuriram United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%100%50%100%
1.50%50%50%50%
2.50%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne CityBuriram United
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricMelbourne CityBuriram United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMelbourne CityBuriram United
Wins01
Draws00
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-1—
Biggest losses0-21-0—3-0
Goals For0020
Goals Against2113

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne CityBuriram United
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Buriram United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.62 @ 1xBet
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne City = 0.05 (league 1.81), Buriram United = 1.76 (league 1.14)

Buriram United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 16.4% 28.8% 25.3% 14.8% 6.5% 2.3%
1 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.9% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 80.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1