Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 10:00 • Machida GION Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.76) 0.62 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.3% 42.2% 30.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.5%
0 - 1
18.9%
1 - 0
17.4%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Machida Zelvia 0 30.5% 18.9% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 10.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMachida ZelviaMelbourne City
Played33
Form56%33%
Attack21%14%
Defense93%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 12 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.34 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

45%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Machida Zelvia Melbourne City
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%50%33%50%0%33%
Draws100%50%67%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%50%100%67%

Form: Machida Zelvia: DDW • Melbourne City: LLW

League goals

Metric Machida Zelvia Melbourne City
HATHAT
GF total123202
GF avg1.01.01.01.00.00.7
GA total101314
GA avg1.00.00.31.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMachida ZelviaMelbourne City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%33%100%
1.533%0%33%33%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMachida ZelviaMelbourne City
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricMachida ZelviaMelbourne City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMachida ZelviaMelbourne City
Wins00
Draws20
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-1—
Biggest losses——0-21-0
Goals For1220
Goals Against1021

Model comparison

MetricMachida ZelviaMelbourne City
Form63%38%
Att60%40%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total67.7%32.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Machida Zelvia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ 188Bet
Draw5.50 @ William Hill
Away10.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.40 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Machida Zelvia = 0.57 (league 1.76), Melbourne City = 0.62 (league 1.13)

Melbourne City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Machida Zelvia 0 30.5% 18.9% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 10.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 42.2% · Away win 30.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1