Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 10:00 • Machida GION Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.66) 1.16 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 26.9% 32.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
11.0%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Chengdu Better City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Machida Zelvia 0 8.3% 9.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.8% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.5% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMachida ZelviaChengdu Better City
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack52%14%
Defense81%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Machida Zelvia Chengdu Better City
HATHAT
Played347538
Wins33%75%57%40%0%25%
Draws33%25%29%20%67%38%
Loses33%0%14%40%33%38%

Form: Machida Zelvia: DDWLWWW • Chengdu Better City: WLWLDDDL

League goals

Metric Machida Zelvia Chengdu Better City
HATHAT
GF total5712538
GF avg1.71.81.71.01.01.0
GA total415448
GA avg1.30.30.70.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMachida ZelviaChengdu Better City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%63%63%
1.557%14%25%38%
2.529%0%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMachida ZelviaChengdu Better City
HATHAT
Clean sheets033213
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricMachida ZelviaChengdu Better City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMachida ZelviaChengdu Better City
Wins11
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-0—
Biggest losses1-2—0-22-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricMachida ZelviaChengdu Better City
Form80%20%
Att79%21%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total68.5%31.5%

Advice: Double chance : Machida Zelvia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ William Hill
Draw4.10 @ 10Bet
Away5.90 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Machida Zelvia = 1.34 (league 1.66), Chengdu Better City = 1.16 (league 1.12)

Chengdu Better City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Machida Zelvia 0 8.3% 9.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.8% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.5% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 32.2%

vtt 5 , vtd1