Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 10:00 • AAMI Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.66) 0.62 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.2% 33.7% 22.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 0
19.3%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Gangwon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 19.3% 12.0% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 12.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.1% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne CityGangwon FC
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack60%47%
Defense73%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne City Gangwon FC
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%50%57%50%0%29%
Draws0%25%14%25%33%29%
Loses33%25%29%25%67%43%

Form: Melbourne City: LLWWWDW • Gangwon FC: WLWLLDD

League goals

Metric Melbourne City Gangwon FC
HATHAT
GF total459729
GF avg1.31.31.31.80.71.3
GA total3477411
GA avg1.01.01.01.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne CityGangwon FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%57%86%
1.557%14%43%43%
2.50%0%14%29%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne CityGangwon FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricMelbourne CityGangwon FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMelbourne CityGangwon FC
Wins31
Draws10
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-3—
Biggest losses0-21-01-31-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against2132

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne CityGangwon FC
Form72%28%
Att56%44%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total66.0%34.0%

Advice: Double chance : Melbourne City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ 1xBet
Away3.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.89 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne City = 1.02 (league 1.66), Gangwon FC = 0.62 (league 1.12)

Gangwon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 19.3% 12.0% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 12.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.1% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.2% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 22.0%

vtt 16 , vtd1