Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:45 • The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.91) 0.22 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.5% 50.1% 11.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
44.1%
1 - 0
26.5%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 44.1% 9.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.5% 5.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKilmarnockST Mirren
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack60%87%
Defense93%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kilmarnock ST Mirren
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins100%50%80%67%50%60%
Draws0%50%20%33%50%40%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Kilmarnock: WWDWW • ST Mirren: DWWWD

League goals

Metric Kilmarnock ST Mirren
HATHAT
GF total72911213
GF avg2.31.01.83.71.02.6
GA total101415
GA avg0.30.00.21.30.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKilmarnockST Mirren
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%20%80%80%
1.560%0%60%20%
2.520%0%20%0%
3.520%0%20%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKilmarnockST Mirren
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricKilmarnockST Mirren
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKilmarnockST Mirren
Wins23
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-28-21-2
Biggest losses
Goals For4282
Goals Against1021

Model comparison

MetricKilmarnockST Mirren
Form54%46%
Att41%59%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h71%29%
Goals55%45%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : Kilmarnock or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away2.95 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Kilmarnock = 0.60 (league 1.91), ST Mirren = 0.22 (league 1.38)

ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 44.1% 9.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.5% 5.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.5% · Draw 50.1% · Away win 11.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1