Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Giuseppe Voltini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.34) 1.00 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.0% 29.7% 32.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
13.4%
0 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cittadella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pergolettese 0 11.9% 12.0% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.5% 7.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPergoletteseCittadella
Played22
Form50%67%
Attack21%14%
Defense79%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.52 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.51 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pergolettese Cittadella
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%100%50%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses100%0%50%0%0%0%

Form: Pergolettese: LW • Cittadella: DW

League goals

Metric Pergolettese Cittadella
HATHAT
GF total033112
GF avg0.03.01.51.01.01.0
GA total123011
GA avg1.02.01.50.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePergoletteseCittadella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%50%
1.550%50%0%0%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPergoletteseCittadella
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricPergoletteseCittadella
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPergoletteseCittadella
Wins00
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-31-0
Biggest losses0-1
Goals For0311
Goals Against1201

Model comparison

MetricPergoletteseCittadella
Form43%57%
Att60%40%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cittadella and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ Bet365
Draw3.15 @ Fonbet
Away2.22 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pergolettese = 1.12 (league 1.34), Cittadella = 1.00 (league 1.00)

Cittadella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pergolettese 0 11.9% 12.0% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.5% 7.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 32.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1