Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 10:30 • Stadio Giuseppe Voltini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.30) 1.55 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.2% 25.2% 46.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Inter U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pergolettese 0 6.7% 10.3% 8.0% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.7% 12.0% 9.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.4% 6.9% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPergoletteseInter U23
Played44
Form75%42%
Attack89%56%
Defense44%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 25 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.35 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pergolettese Inter U23
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%100%75%0%50%25%
Draws0%0%0%50%50%50%
Loses50%0%25%50%0%25%

Form: Pergolettese: LWWW • Inter U23: DDLW

League goals

Metric Pergolettese Inter U23
HATHAT
GF total358235
GF avg1.52.52.01.01.51.3
GA total235325
GA avg1.01.51.31.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePergoletteseInter U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%75%100%
1.575%25%50%25%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPergoletteseInter U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricPergoletteseInter U23
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPergoletteseInter U23
Wins00
Draws02
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-3—1-2
Biggest losses0-1—0-1—
Goals For3322
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricPergoletteseInter U23
Form64%36%
Att62%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : Pergolettese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pergolettese = 1.16 (league 1.30), Inter U23 = 1.55 (league 0.97)

Inter U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pergolettese 0 6.7% 10.3% 8.0% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.7% 12.0% 9.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.4% 6.9% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.2% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 46.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1