Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 10:30 •
Stadio Ernesto Breda
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.28)
1.02 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.3% | 32.6% | 40.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.8%
0 - 0
16.6%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Renate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alcione | 0 | 16.6% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alcione | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 58% |
| Attack | 33% | 67% |
| Defense | 78% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alcione | Renate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Alcione: WLWD • Renate: WDWL
League goals
| Metric | Alcione | Renate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alcione | Renate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alcione | Renate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alcione | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alcione | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | — | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alcione | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.6% | 48.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Alcione or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alcione = 0.78 (league 1.28), Renate = 1.02 (league 0.98)
| Renate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alcione | 0 | 16.6% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 40.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1