Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.34) 0.50 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 32.5% 16.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.1%
0 - 0
19.7%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Giana Erminio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Brescia 0 19.7% 9.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.1% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion BresciaGiana Erminio
Played44
Form75%42%
Attack92%25%
Defense75%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.83 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.84 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Brescia Giana Erminio
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%100%75%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses50%0%25%50%0%25%

Form: Union Brescia: LWWW • Giana Erminio: LDWD

League goals

Metric Union Brescia Giana Erminio
HATHAT
GF total6511213
GF avg3.02.52.81.00.50.8
GA total213314
GA avg1.00.50.81.50.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion BresciaGiana Erminio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%75%
1.575%25%25%25%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion BresciaGiana Erminio
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricUnion BresciaGiana Erminio
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUnion BresciaGiana Erminio
Wins01
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-32-1
Biggest losses1-20-2
Goals For5321
Goals Against2121

Model comparison

MetricUnion BresciaGiana Erminio
Form64%36%
Att79%21%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total68.0%32.0%

Advice: Double chance : Union Brescia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Brescia = 1.12 (league 1.34), Giana Erminio = 0.50 (league 1.00)

Giana Erminio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Brescia 0 19.7% 9.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.1% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 32.5% · Away win 16.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1