Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Briamasco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.34) 4.98 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.8% 4.8% 54.3%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.4%
1 - 5
6.4%
0 - 4
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Pergolettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trento 0 0.2% 1.1% 2.8% 4.6% 5.8% 5.7%
1 0.3% 1.3% 3.1% 5.2% 6.4% 6.4%
2 0.1% 0.7% 1.7% 2.9% 3.6% 3.6%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrentoPergolettese
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack50%67%
Defense33%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trento Pergolettese
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%33%100%60%
Draws50%33%40%0%0%0%
Loses50%33%40%67%0%40%

Form: Trento: WLDDL • Pergolettese: LWWWL

League goals

Metric Trento Pergolettese
HATHAT
GF total246358
GF avg1.01.31.21.02.51.6
GA total448437
GA avg2.01.31.61.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrentoPergolettese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%60%100%
1.540%60%60%40%
2.50%20%40%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrentoPergolettese
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score101202

Penalties

MetricTrentoPergolettese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTrentoPergolettese
Wins13
Draws20
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-23-12-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-2—
Goals For2233
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricTrentoPergolettese
Form36%64%
Att43%57%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h15%85%
Goals22%78%
Total30.5%69.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pergolettese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Bet365
Draw3.24 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Trento = 1.12 (league 1.34), Pergolettese = 4.98 (league 1.00)

Pergolettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trento 0 0.2% 1.1% 2.8% 4.6% 5.8% 5.7%
1 0.3% 1.3% 3.1% 5.2% 6.4% 6.4%
2 0.1% 0.7% 1.7% 2.9% 3.6% 3.6%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.8% · Draw 4.8% · Away win 54.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1