Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.34) 0.50 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 32.5% 16.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.1%
0 - 0
19.7%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lumezzane
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cittadella 0 19.7% 9.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.1% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCittadellaLumezzane
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack33%42%
Defense42%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cittadella Lumezzane
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%33%0%20%
Draws0%33%20%0%0%0%
Loses50%67%60%67%100%80%

Form: Cittadella: DWLLL • Lumezzane: LLLLW

League goals

Metric Cittadella Lumezzane
HATHAT
GF total134505
GF avg0.51.00.81.70.01.0
GA total1675611
GA avg0.52.01.41.73.02.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCittadellaLumezzane
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%60%80%
1.50%40%40%60%
2.50%20%0%40%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCittadellaLumezzane
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricCittadellaLumezzane
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCittadellaLumezzane
Wins10
Draws10
Losses04

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-0
Biggest losses0-13-12-35-0
Goals For1120
Goals Against1335

Model comparison

MetricCittadellaLumezzane
Form57%43%
Att44%56%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Cittadella or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away6.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.26 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cittadella = 1.12 (league 1.34), Lumezzane = 0.50 (league 1.00)

Lumezzane
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cittadella 0 19.7% 9.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.1% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 32.5% · Away win 16.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1