Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Nereo Rocco
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.33)
1.71 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.4% | 23.9% | 53.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 1
11.4%
0 - 2
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Renate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Triestina | 0 | 6.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Triestina | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 58% |
| Defense | 50% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Triestina | Renate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
| Draws | 67% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 33% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Triestina: LDDWWL • Renate: WDWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Triestina | Renate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Triestina | Renate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 100% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 17% | 17% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Triestina | Renate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Triestina | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Triestina | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | — | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Triestina | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 53.2% | 46.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Triestina or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Triestina = 0.97 (league 1.33), Renate = 1.71 (league 1.00)
| Renate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Triestina | 0 | 6.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.4% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 53.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1