Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.34) 0.21 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.3% 15.9% 3.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
21.9%
1 - 0
21.7%
3 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Giana Erminio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecco 0 10.8% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.7% 4.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.9% 4.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.7% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeccoGiana Erminio
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack56%25%
Defense88%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecco Giana Erminio
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%67%83%33%0%17%
Draws0%33%17%0%67%33%
Loses0%0%0%67%33%50%

Form: Lecco: WDWWWW • Giana Erminio: LDWDLL

League goals

Metric Lecco Giana Erminio
HATHAT
GF total8311314
GF avg2.71.01.81.00.30.7
GA total213639
GA avg0.70.30.52.01.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeccoGiana Erminio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%83%
1.550%0%17%50%
2.533%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeccoGiana Erminio
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricLeccoGiana Erminio
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLeccoGiana Erminio
Wins11
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-1
Biggest losses1-32-0
Goals For3121
Goals Against1132

Model comparison

MetricLeccoGiana Erminio
Form72%28%
Att69%31%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total74.8%25.2%

Advice: Double chance : Lecco or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.77 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lecco = 2.02 (league 1.34), Giana Erminio = 0.21 (league 1.00)

Giana Erminio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecco 0 10.8% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.7% 4.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.9% 4.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.7% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.3% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 3.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1