Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.33) 1.31 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.6% 28.8% 60.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.3%
0 - 0
18.5%
0 - 2
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Alcione
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ospitaletto 0 18.5% 24.3% 15.9% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6%
1 7.0% 9.1% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
2 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOspitalettoAlcione
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack31%46%
Defense54%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ospitaletto Alcione
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins0%25%17%67%33%50%
Draws50%25%33%33%33%33%
Loses50%50%50%0%33%17%

Form: Ospitaletto: LDDLLW • Alcione: WLWDDW

League goals

Metric Ospitaletto Alcione
HATHAT
GF total145347
GF avg0.51.00.81.01.31.2
GA total268134
GA avg1.01.51.30.31.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOspitalettoAlcione
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%83%67%
1.517%50%17%0%
2.50%0%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOspitalettoAlcione
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricOspitalettoAlcione
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricOspitalettoAlcione
Wins01
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-21-01-3
Biggest losses1-22-0—1-0
Goals For1213
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricOspitalettoAlcione
Form38%62%
Att40%60%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Alcione and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ospitaletto = 0.38 (league 1.33), Alcione = 1.31 (league 0.99)

Alcione
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ospitaletto 0 18.5% 24.3% 15.9% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6%
1 7.0% 9.1% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
2 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.6% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 60.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1