Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.33) 0.70 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.5% 41.3% 35.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.5%
0 - 1
20.8%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cittadella 0 29.5% 20.8% 7.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.3% 10.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCittadellaPro Patria
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack23%23%
Defense46%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cittadella Pro Patria
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%0%0%0%
Draws0%33%17%33%33%33%
Loses67%67%67%67%67%67%

Form: Cittadella: DWLLLL • Pro Patria: LDLDLL

League goals

Metric Cittadella Pro Patria
HATHAT
GF total134235
GF avg0.31.00.70.71.00.8
GA total2686713
GA avg0.72.01.32.02.32.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCittadellaPro Patria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%50%83%
1.50%33%33%83%
2.50%17%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCittadellaPro Patria
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score202213

Penalties

MetricCittadellaPro Patria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCittadellaPro Patria
Wins10
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0———
Biggest losses0-13-10-33-0
Goals For1122
Goals Against1333

Model comparison

MetricCittadellaPro Patria
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total55.3%44.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cittadella or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ Superbet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away5.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cittadella = 0.52 (league 1.33), Pro Patria = 0.70 (league 1.00)

Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cittadella 0 29.5% 20.8% 7.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.3% 10.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 41.3% · Away win 35.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1