Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 15:30 •
Mino Favini
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.33)
2.02 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.5% | 21.5% | 47.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Cittadella | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Renate | 0 | 3.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Renate | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 7% |
| Attack | 100% | 33% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Renate | Cittadella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 29% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 67% | 25% | 43% | 50% | 67% | 57% |
Form: Renate: WDWLDLL • Cittadella: DWLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Renate | Cittadella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Renate | Cittadella | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 86% | 57% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 57% | 0% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 29% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Renate | Cittadella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Renate | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Renate | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-3 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Renate | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 60.5% | 39.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Renate or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Renate = 1.51 (league 1.33), Cittadella = 2.02 (league 0.99)
| Cittadella | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Renate | 0 | 3.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.5% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 47.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1