Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:30 •
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.29)
1.39 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.9% | 23.1% | 29.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Pergolettese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Brescia | 0 | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Union Brescia | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Union Brescia | Pergolettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 50% | 67% | 57% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
| Draws | 25% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 14% | 75% | 0% | 43% |
Form: Union Brescia: LWWWWDD • Pergolettese: LWWWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Union Brescia | Pergolettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Union Brescia | Pergolettese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 57% | 57% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 14% | 43% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Union Brescia | Pergolettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Union Brescia | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Union Brescia | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Union Brescia | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61% | 39% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 64.3% | 35.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Union Brescia or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Union Brescia = 1.78 (league 1.29), Pergolettese = 1.39 (league 0.98)
| Pergolettese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Brescia | 0 | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 29.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1