Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 12:30 • Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.22 (league 1.34) 0.25 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.1% 65.7% 18.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
62.2%
0 - 1
15.6%
1 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Triestina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cittadella 0 62.2% 15.6% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.9% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCittadellaTriestina
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack11%78%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cittadella Triestina
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%0%13%50%25%38%
Draws25%50%38%50%25%38%
Loses50%50%50%0%50%25%

Form: Cittadella: DWLLLLDD • Triestina: LDDWWLWD

League goals

Metric Cittadella Triestina
HATHAT
GF total134729
GF avg0.30.80.51.80.51.1
GA total268347
GA avg0.51.51.00.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCittadellaTriestina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%63%63%75%
1.50%25%38%13%
2.50%13%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCittadellaTriestina
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score314033

Penalties

MetricCittadellaTriestina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCittadellaTriestina
Wins12
Draws12
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-03-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-12-0
Goals For1132
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricCittadellaTriestina
Form17%83%
Att13%88%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution48%53%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total32.0%68.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Triestina and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cittadella = 0.22 (league 1.34), Triestina = 0.25 (league 1.00)

Triestina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cittadella 0 62.2% 15.6% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.9% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 65.7% · Away win 18.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1