Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 18:30 •
Carlo Speroni
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.34)
4.02 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7% | 4.8% | 71.7% |
best score tips
0 - 4
11.6%
0 - 3
11.5%
0 - 5
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Union Brescia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pro Patria | 0 | 1.1% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pro Patria | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 22% | 78% |
| Defense | 11% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pro Patria | Union Brescia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 67% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 38% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
Form: Pro Patria: LDLDLLDD • Union Brescia: LWWWWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Pro Patria | Union Brescia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pro Patria | Union Brescia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 88% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 75% | 50% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 38% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pro Patria | Union Brescia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pro Patria | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pro Patria | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pro Patria | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 13% | 87% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 21.8% | 78.3% |
Advice: Winner : Union Brescia
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pro Patria = 0.52 (league 1.34), Union Brescia = 4.02 (league 1.00)
| Union Brescia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pro Patria | 0 | 1.1% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.7% · Draw 4.8% · Away win 71.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1