Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 15:30 • Giuseppe Voltini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.30) 2.01 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.3% 19.4% 68.6%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.6%
0 - 1
14.5%
0 - 3
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Alcione
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pergolettese 0 7.2% 14.5% 14.6% 9.8% 4.9% 2.0%
1 4.4% 8.9% 9.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.2%
2 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPergoletteseAlcione
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack23%46%
Defense62%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pergolettese Alcione
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%50%38%50%50%50%
Draws0%50%25%25%25%25%
Loses75%0%38%25%25%25%

Form: Pergolettese: LWWWLDLD • Alcione: WLWDDWWL

League goals

Metric Pergolettese Alcione
HATHAT
GF total459358
GF avg1.01.31.10.81.31.0
GA total639235
GA avg1.50.81.10.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePergoletteseAlcione
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%75%63%
1.538%38%13%0%
2.525%0%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPergoletteseAlcione
HATHAT
Clean sheets022213
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricPergoletteseAlcione
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPergoletteseAlcione
Wins32
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-31-01-3
Biggest losses0-2—0-11-0
Goals For3313
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricPergoletteseAlcione
Form38%62%
Att33%67%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total34.8%65.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Alcione and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.39 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.42 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pergolettese = 0.62 (league 1.30), Alcione = 2.01 (league 0.97)

Alcione
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pergolettese 0 7.2% 14.5% 14.6% 9.8% 4.9% 2.0%
1 4.4% 8.9% 9.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.2%
2 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.3% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 68.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1