Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Silvio Piola
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.34) 1.12 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.9% 31.7% 46.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 0
16.6%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Arzignano Valchiampo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 16.6% 18.6% 10.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.1% 12.5% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.8% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovaraArzignano Valchiampo
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack33%56%
Defense44%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novara Arzignano Valchiampo
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins0%0%0%25%20%22%
Draws75%80%78%50%20%33%
Loses25%20%22%25%60%44%

Form: Novara: DDDDLDLDD • Arzignano Valchiampo: WWLDLLDDL

League goals

Metric Novara Arzignano Valchiampo
HATHAT
GF total2464711
GF avg0.50.80.71.01.41.2
GA total3585914
GA avg0.81.00.91.31.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovaraArzignano Valchiampo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%67%78%78%
1.511%11%33%67%
2.50%11%11%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovaraArzignano Valchiampo
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score224202

Penalties

MetricNovaraArzignano Valchiampo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNovaraArzignano Valchiampo
Wins02
Draws42
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-2
Biggest losses0-13-21-32-1
Goals For1232
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricNovaraArzignano Valchiampo
Form60%40%
Att38%63%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total55.7%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Novara or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ 188Bet
Draw3.10 @ Dafabet
Away3.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novara = 0.67 (league 1.34), Arzignano Valchiampo = 1.12 (league 1.00)

Arzignano Valchiampo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 16.6% 18.6% 10.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.1% 12.5% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.8% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.9% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 46.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1