Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:30 • Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.28) 1.14 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 24.1% 25.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Verona 0 5.9% 6.8% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.0% 11.4% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.7% 5.4% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus VeronaPro Patria
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack57%14%
Defense50%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Verona Pro Patria
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins0%50%22%0%0%0%
Draws80%0%44%40%50%44%
Loses20%50%33%60%50%56%

Form: Virtus Verona: DLWLDWDDL • Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDL

League goals

Metric Virtus Verona Pro Patria
HATHAT
GF total6814437
GF avg1.22.01.60.80.80.8
GA total761310717
GA avg1.41.51.42.01.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus VeronaPro Patria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%89%44%78%
1.544%44%33%78%
2.511%11%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus VeronaPro Patria
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score000325

Penalties

MetricVirtus VeronaPro Patria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricVirtus VeronaPro Patria
Wins10
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-3——
Biggest losses1-23-20-33-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricVirtus VeronaPro Patria
Form75%25%
Att80%20%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total70.3%29.7%

Advice: Double chance : Virtus Verona or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Virtus Verona = 1.69 (league 1.28), Pro Patria = 1.14 (league 0.98)

Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Verona 0 5.9% 6.8% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.0% 11.4% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.7% 5.4% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 25.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1