Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 18:30 •
Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.34)
1.00 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.4% | 33.0% | 40.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 0
17.4%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Union Brescia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lecco | 0 | 17.4% | 17.4% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lecco | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 60% |
| Attack | 70% | 60% |
| Defense | 70% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lecco | Union Brescia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 60% | 67% | 40% | 75% | 56% |
| Draws | 25% | 40% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
Form: Lecco: WDWWWWDDW • Union Brescia: LWWWWDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Lecco | Union Brescia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lecco | Union Brescia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 44% | 89% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 11% | 56% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lecco | Union Brescia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lecco | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lecco | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lecco | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Union Brescia and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lecco = 0.75 (league 1.34), Union Brescia = 1.00 (league 1.00)
| Union Brescia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lecco | 0 | 17.4% | 17.4% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 40.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1