Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.28) 1.99 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.7% 18.6% 72.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.0%
0 - 2
16.9%
0 - 3
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Alcione
0 1 2 3 4 5
Giana Erminio 0 8.5% 17.0% 16.9% 11.2% 5.6% 2.2%
1 4.0% 8.0% 7.9% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
2 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGiana ErminioAlcione
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack21%50%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Giana Erminio Alcione
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%0%20%40%60%50%
Draws20%80%50%20%20%20%
Loses40%20%30%40%20%30%

Form: Giana Erminio: LDWDLLDWDD • Alcione: WLWDDWWLWL

League goals

Metric Giana Erminio Alcione
HATHAT
GF total5164711
GF avg1.00.20.60.81.41.1
GA total7310437
GA avg1.40.61.00.80.60.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGiana ErminioAlcione
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%60%80%60%
1.520%30%20%10%
2.50%10%10%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGiana ErminioAlcione
HATHAT
Clean sheets134224
Failed to score246112

Penalties

MetricGiana ErminioAlcione
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGiana ErminioAlcione
Wins12
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—1-01-3
Biggest losses1-32-01-21-0
Goals For2113
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricGiana ErminioAlcione
Form40%60%
Att30%70%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Alcione and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Dafabet
Away3.65 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.46 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Giana Erminio = 0.47 (league 1.28), Alcione = 1.99 (league 0.98)

Alcione
0 1 2 3 4 5
Giana Erminio 0 8.5% 17.0% 16.9% 11.2% 5.6% 2.2%
1 4.0% 8.0% 7.9% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
2 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.7% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 72.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1