Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 16:30 • Carlo Speroni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.30) 2.49 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.0% 16.9% 66.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
9.6%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 3
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ospitaletto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pro Patria 0 3.1% 7.7% 9.6% 7.9% 4.9% 2.5%
1 3.1% 7.6% 9.5% 7.8% 4.9% 2.4%
2 1.5% 3.8% 4.7% 3.9% 2.4% 1.2%
3 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPro PatriaOspitaletto
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack21%50%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pro Patria Ospitaletto
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins0%20%10%20%20%20%
Draws40%40%40%20%40%30%
Loses60%40%50%60%40%50%

Form: Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDLW • Ospitaletto: LDDLLWLDWL

League goals

Metric Pro Patria Ospitaletto
HATHAT
GF total4484610
GF avg0.80.80.80.81.21.0
GA total107176814
GA avg2.01.41.71.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePro PatriaOspitaletto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%70%70%90%
1.530%70%30%50%
2.50%30%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPro PatriaOspitaletto
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score325213

Penalties

MetricPro PatriaOspitaletto
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPro PatriaOspitaletto
Wins01
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-12-11-2
Biggest losses0-33-01-22-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricPro PatriaOspitaletto
Form42%58%
Att30%70%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total38.5%61.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ospitaletto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away3.40 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pro Patria = 0.99 (league 1.30), Ospitaletto = 2.49 (league 0.97)

Ospitaletto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pro Patria 0 3.1% 7.7% 9.6% 7.9% 4.9% 2.5%
1 3.1% 7.6% 9.5% 7.8% 4.9% 2.4%
2 1.5% 3.8% 4.7% 3.9% 2.4% 1.2%
3 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.0% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 66.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1