Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:30 •
Stadio Silvio Piola
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.34)
1.21 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.6% | 30.4% | 48.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.4%
0 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Virtus Verona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Novara | 0 | 15.3% | 18.4% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Novara | Virtus Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 88% |
| Defense | 50% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Novara | Virtus Verona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Draws | 60% | 80% | 70% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | 20% | 20% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
Form: Novara: DDDDLDLDDW • Virtus Verona: DLWLDWDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Novara | Virtus Verona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Novara | Virtus Verona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 90% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 10% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Novara | Virtus Verona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Novara | Virtus Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Novara | Virtus Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Novara | Virtus Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 49.2% | 50.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Virtus Verona
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Novara = 0.67 (league 1.34), Virtus Verona = 1.21 (league 1.00)
| Virtus Verona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Novara | 0 | 15.3% | 18.4% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.6% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 48.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1