Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:30 •
Giuseppe Voltini
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.33)
1.29 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.4% | 29.3% | 53.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.4%
0 - 0
15.1%
0 - 2
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Novara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pergolettese | 0 | 15.1% | 19.4% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pergolettese | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 40% |
| Attack | 29% | 57% |
| Defense | 0% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pergolettese | Novara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 20% | 33% | 27% | 17% | 0% | 9% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 27% | 67% | 80% | 73% |
| Loses | 80% | 17% | 45% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
Form: Pergolettese: LWWWLDLDLDL • Novara: DDDDLDLDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Pergolettese | Novara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pergolettese | Novara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 45% | 82% | 64% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 45% | 9% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pergolettese | Novara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pergolettese | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pergolettese | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pergolettese | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 33.2% | 66.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Novara and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pergolettese = 0.60 (league 1.33), Novara = 1.29 (league 0.99)
| Novara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pergolettese | 0 | 15.1% | 19.4% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 53.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1