Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 19:30 • Tullio Saleri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.28) 1.95 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.0% 21.9% 46.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Renate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lumezzane 0 3.1% 6.0% 5.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
1 4.7% 9.2% 9.0% 5.8% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.0% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8%
3 1.8% 3.6% 3.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLumezzaneRenate
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack43%21%
Defense29%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lumezzane Renate
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%17%18%17%40%27%
Draws20%17%18%33%40%36%
Loses60%67%64%50%20%36%

Form: Lumezzane: LLLLWWLLLDD • Renate: WDWLDLLDWDL

League goals

Metric Lumezzane Renate
HATHAT
GF total75125611
GF avg1.40.81.10.81.21.0
GA total813217714
GA avg1.62.21.91.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLumezzaneRenate
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%82%73%73%
1.527%64%18%36%
2.59%27%9%18%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLumezzaneRenate
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score033213

Penalties

MetricLumezzaneRenate
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLumezzaneRenate
Wins21
Draws01
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-02-3
Biggest losses2-35-01-33-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricLumezzaneRenate
Form29%71%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Renate

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.51 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lumezzane = 1.53 (league 1.28), Renate = 1.95 (league 0.98)

Renate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lumezzane 0 3.1% 6.0% 5.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
1 4.7% 9.2% 9.0% 5.8% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.0% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8%
3 1.8% 3.6% 3.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.0% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 46.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1