Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.30) 0.94 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.9% 31.7% 33.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 0
14.4%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Alcione
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Brescia 0 14.8% 13.9% 6.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.5% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion BresciaAlcione
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack67%67%
Defense89%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Brescia Alcione
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%83%67%50%50%50%
Draws33%17%25%17%33%25%
Loses17%0%8%33%17%25%

Form: Union Brescia: LWWWWDDDWWWW • Alcione: WLWDDWWLWLDW

League goals

Metric Union Brescia Alcione
HATHAT
GF total1110216814
GF avg1.81.71.81.01.31.2
GA total426448
GA avg0.70.30.50.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion BresciaAlcione
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%42%83%58%
1.550%8%25%8%
2.517%0%8%0%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion BresciaAlcione
HATHAT
Clean sheets347325
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricUnion BresciaAlcione
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricUnion BresciaAlcione
Wins42
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-32-01-3
Biggest losses1-2—1-21-0
Goals For5323
Goals Against2121

Model comparison

MetricUnion BresciaAlcione
Form65%35%
Att50%50%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total62.3%37.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Union Brescia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.43 @ Unibet
Draw4.20 @ Betfair
Away9.15 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.52 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Brescia = 0.97 (league 1.30), Alcione = 0.94 (league 0.97)

Alcione
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Brescia 0 14.8% 13.9% 6.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.5% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.9% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 33.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1