Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:30 • Tommaso Dal Molin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.30) 1.65 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.7% 24.5% 50.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Pergolettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arzignano Valchiampo 0 6.5% 10.8% 8.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
1 7.0% 11.6% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.8% 6.3% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.2% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArzignano ValchiampoPergolettese
Played55
Form13%20%
Attack31%19%
Defense31%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arzignano Valchiampo Pergolettese
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins20%14%17%17%33%25%
Draws60%14%33%17%50%33%
Loses20%71%50%67%17%42%

Form: Arzignano Valchiampo: WWLDLLDDLLDL • Pergolettese: LWWWLDLDLDLD

League goals

Metric Arzignano Valchiampo Pergolettese
HATHAT
GF total78156612
GF avg1.41.11.31.01.01.0
GA total8152310616
GA avg1.62.11.91.71.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArzignano ValchiampoPergolettese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%50%83%
1.533%67%33%50%
2.517%25%17%0%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArzignano ValchiampoPergolettese
HATHAT
Clean sheets202022
Failed to score213336

Penalties

MetricArzignano ValchiampoPergolettese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricArzignano ValchiampoPergolettese
Wins23
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-23-12-3
Biggest losses1-35-10-22-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3522

Model comparison

MetricArzignano ValchiampoPergolettese
Form40%60%
Att63%38%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h75%25%
Goals75%25%
Total55.8%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Arzignano Valchiampo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Unibet
Away3.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arzignano Valchiampo = 1.08 (league 1.30), Pergolettese = 1.65 (league 0.97)

Pergolettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arzignano Valchiampo 0 6.5% 10.8% 8.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
1 7.0% 11.6% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.8% 6.3% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.2% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.7% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 50.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1