Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.55 (league 1.29) 0.51 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.0% 13.1% 5.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.3%
3 - 0
13.0%
1 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecco 0 4.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.0% 6.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 7.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.0% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeccoPro Patria
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack70%20%
Defense70%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecco Pro Patria
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins67%57%62%0%17%8%
Draws17%29%23%57%33%46%
Loses17%14%15%43%50%46%

Form: Lecco: WDWWWWDDWLWWL • Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDLWDLD

League goals

Metric Lecco Pro Patria
HATHAT
GF total13720549
GF avg2.21.01.50.70.70.7
GA total44811920
GA avg0.70.60.61.61.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeccoPro Patria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%54%46%69%
1.538%8%23%62%
2.523%0%0%23%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeccoPro Patria
HATHAT
Clean sheets246224
Failed to score213437

Penalties

MetricLeccoPro Patria
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLeccoPro Patria
Wins41
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-1—0-1
Biggest losses0-11-00-33-0
Goals For5222
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricLeccoPro Patria
Form64%36%
Att78%22%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h40%60%
Goals38%62%
Total61.5%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : Lecco or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away5.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lecco = 2.55 (league 1.29), Pro Patria = 0.51 (league 0.97)

Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecco 0 4.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.0% 6.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 7.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.0% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.0% · Draw 13.1% · Away win 5.4%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1