Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Ernesto Breda
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.30) 0.72 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.4% 34.4% 27.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.2%
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Novara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcione 0 19.2% 13.9% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.9% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.2% 6.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlcioneNovara
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack88%63%
Defense63%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alcione Novara
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%57%54%29%0%15%
Draws17%29%23%57%83%69%
Loses33%14%23%14%17%15%

Form: Alcione: WLWDDWWLWLDWW • Novara: DDDDLDLDDWDDW

League goals

Metric Alcione Novara
HATHAT
GF total69155611
GF avg1.01.31.20.71.00.8
GA total4484711
GA avg0.70.60.60.61.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlcioneNovara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%54%69%62%
1.523%8%15%15%
2.58%0%0%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlcioneNovara
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricAlcioneNovara
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAlcioneNovara
Wins21
Draws24
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-31-0—
Biggest losses1-21-00-13-2
Goals For2312
Goals Against2113

Model comparison

MetricAlcioneNovara
Form53%47%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total60.2%39.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alcione or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away3.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ 188Bet
No1.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alcione = 0.92 (league 1.30), Novara = 0.72 (league 0.97)

Novara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcione 0 19.2% 13.9% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.9% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.2% 6.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 34.4% · Away win 27.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1