Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 19:30 • Carlo Speroni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.29) 1.48 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.6% 26.3% 59.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.6%
0 - 2
14.4%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Pergolettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pro Patria 0 13.3% 19.6% 14.4% 7.1% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.2% 10.7% 7.9% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPro PatriaPergolettese
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack20%30%
Defense60%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pro Patria Pergolettese
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins0%14%7%14%29%21%
Draws57%29%43%14%43%29%
Loses43%57%50%71%29%50%

Form: Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDLWDLDL • Pergolettese: LWWWLDLDLDLDLL

League goals

Metric Pro Patria Pergolettese
HATHAT
GF total5496612
GF avg0.70.60.60.90.90.9
GA total11102113720
GA avg1.61.41.51.91.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePro PatriaPergolettese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%71%43%86%
1.521%57%29%50%
2.50%21%14%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPro PatriaPergolettese
HATHAT
Clean sheets224022
Failed to score448448

Penalties

MetricPro PatriaPergolettese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPro PatriaPergolettese
Wins13
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-13-12-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-32-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricPro PatriaPergolettese
Form71%29%
Att40%60%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Pro Patria or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.81 @ 188Bet
Away2.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pro Patria = 0.54 (league 1.29), Pergolettese = 1.48 (league 0.98)

Pergolettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pro Patria 0 13.3% 19.6% 14.4% 7.1% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.2% 10.7% 7.9% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.6% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 59.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1