Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 16:30 • Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.30) 0.66 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.1% 35.4% 25.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.9%
1 - 0
18.9%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Triestina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Verona 0 20.9% 13.9% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.9% 12.5% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.5% 5.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus VeronaTriestina
Played55
Form7%13%
Attack15%23%
Defense31%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Verona Triestina
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins0%29%14%29%14%21%
Draws57%14%36%57%14%36%
Loses43%57%50%14%71%43%

Form: Virtus Verona: DLWLDWDDLLDLLL • Triestina: LDDWWLWDLDLLLD

League goals

Metric Virtus Verona Triestina
HATHAT
GF total610169312
GF avg0.91.41.11.30.40.9
GA total1111226915
GA avg1.61.61.60.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus VeronaTriestina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%93%57%86%
1.529%43%21%14%
2.57%21%7%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus VeronaTriestina
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score213156

Penalties

MetricVirtus VeronaTriestina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVirtus VeronaTriestina
Wins12
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-33-10-13-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricVirtus VeronaTriestina
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Triestina and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.43 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Virtus Verona = 0.90 (league 1.30), Triestina = 0.66 (league 0.97)

Triestina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Verona 0 20.9% 13.9% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.9% 12.5% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.5% 5.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 35.4% · Away win 25.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1