Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.28) 0.61 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.0% 25.1% 14.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
2 - 0
13.9%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Cittadella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecco 0 11.4% 7.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.8% 10.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeccoCittadella
Played55
Form60%100%
Attack70%70%
Defense70%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecco Cittadella
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins71%57%64%57%43%50%
Draws14%29%21%14%29%21%
Loses14%14%14%29%29%29%

Form: Lecco: WDWWWWDDWLWWLW • Cittadella: DWLLLLDDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Lecco Cittadella
HATHAT
GF total147215712
GF avg2.01.01.50.71.00.9
GA total4483710
GA avg0.60.60.60.41.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeccoCittadella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%50%71%50%
1.536%7%14%14%
2.521%0%0%7%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeccoCittadella
HATHAT
Clean sheets347437
Failed to score213314

Penalties

MetricLeccoCittadella
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLeccoCittadella
Wins41
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-12-11-2
Biggest losses0-11-00-13-1
Goals For5222
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricLeccoCittadella
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total43.8%56.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cittadella and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw2.91 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lecco = 1.56 (league 1.28), Cittadella = 0.61 (league 0.98)

Cittadella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecco 0 11.4% 7.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.8% 10.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.0% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 14.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1