Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Silvio Piola
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.28) 0.55 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.2% 43.0% 26.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.7%
1 - 0
19.0%
0 - 1
17.4%
Score & goals probability table
Renate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 31.7% 17.4% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 10.4% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovaraRenate
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack60%20%
Defense70%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novara Renate
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%14%21%29%29%29%
Draws57%71%64%29%43%36%
Loses14%14%14%43%29%36%

Form: Novara: DDDDLDLDDWDDWW • Renate: WDWLDLLDWDLDWL

League goals

Metric Novara Renate
HATHAT
GF total57126612
GF avg0.71.00.90.90.90.9
GA total47117815
GA avg0.61.00.81.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovaraRenate
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%64%64%
1.514%14%14%29%
2.50%7%7%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovaraRenate
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score224235

Penalties

MetricNovaraRenate
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNovaraRenate
Wins11
Draws41
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-12-02-3
Biggest losses0-13-21-33-0
Goals For1223
Goals Against1333

Model comparison

MetricNovaraRenate
Form69%31%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h75%25%
Goals58%42%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Novara or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ 1xBet
Draw2.93 @ 188Bet
Away3.45 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novara = 0.60 (league 1.28), Renate = 0.55 (league 0.98)

Renate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 31.7% 17.4% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 10.4% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 43.0% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1