Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Nereo Rocco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.30) 0.56 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 27.5% 14.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.8%
0 - 0
14.1%
2 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Triestina 0 14.1% 7.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.8% 11.0% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 7.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTriestinaPro Patria
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack33%67%
Defense0%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Triestina Pro Patria
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%13%20%13%14%13%
Draws57%25%40%50%29%40%
Loses14%63%40%38%57%47%

Form: Triestina: LDDWWLWDLDLLLDD • Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDLWDLDLW

League goals

Metric Triestina Pro Patria
HATHAT
GF total93128412
GF avg1.30.40.81.00.60.8
GA total6915121022
GA avg0.91.11.01.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTriestinaPro Patria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%80%47%73%
1.520%13%27%53%
2.57%7%7%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTriestinaPro Patria
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score167448

Penalties

MetricTriestinaPro Patria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricTriestinaPro Patria
Wins21
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-10-1
Biggest losses0-13-10-33-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against1333

Model comparison

MetricTriestinaPro Patria
Form29%71%
Att33%67%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h71%29%
Goals78%22%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Triestina or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ SBO
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away4.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Triestina = 1.40 (league 1.30), Pro Patria = 0.56 (league 0.97)

Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Triestina 0 14.1% 7.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.8% 11.0% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 7.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 14.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1