Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.29) 0.45 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.0% 38.7% 18.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.2%
1 - 0
23.2%
0 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Triestina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Giana Erminio 0 27.2% 12.2% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 10.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.9% 4.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGiana ErminioTriestina
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack55%36%
Defense73%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Giana Erminio Triestina
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%13%25%38%13%25%
Draws38%63%50%50%25%38%
Loses25%25%25%13%63%38%

Form: Giana Erminio: LDWDLLDWDDDLDWWD • Triestina: LDDWWLWDLDLLLDDW

League goals

Metric Giana Erminio Triestina
HATHAT
GF total851311314
GF avg1.00.60.81.40.40.9
GA total95147916
GA avg1.10.60.90.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGiana ErminioTriestina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%56%56%81%
1.519%25%25%13%
2.56%6%6%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGiana ErminioTriestina
HATHAT
Clean sheets257123
Failed to score257167

Penalties

MetricGiana ErminioTriestina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGiana ErminioTriestina
Wins22
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-33-01-2
Biggest losses1-32-00-13-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against3213

Model comparison

MetricGiana ErminioTriestina
Form62%38%
Att60%40%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Giana Erminio or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Unibet
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away3.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.48 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Giana Erminio = 0.85 (league 1.29), Triestina = 0.45 (league 0.98)

Triestina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Giana Erminio 0 27.2% 12.2% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 10.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.9% 4.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.0% · Draw 38.7% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1